Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 11.913773 13.628373 15.514519 17.745242 20.314064 23.182594 26.633081
2025-11-16 9.411168 11.596581 14.192436 17.510355 21.649314 26.656293 33.194358
2025-11-23 7.872062 10.224229 13.174581 17.160706 22.427443 29.178217 38.536279
2025-11-30 7.191227 9.757058 13.124631 17.890495 24.498992 33.393390 46.364425
2025-12-07 6.515795 9.178658 12.812576 18.165758 25.906191 36.776527 53.348508
2025-12-14 5.878966 8.561107 12.350048 18.134268 26.816579 39.482856 59.579080
2025-12-21 5.314846 7.975459 11.853482 17.968714 27.466057 41.812125 65.422674
2025-12-28 5.044495 7.788427 11.908600 18.609497 29.360917 46.152277 74.778305
2026-01-04 4.762176 7.549187 11.851144 19.051800 30.961645 50.152166 83.968945
2026-01-11 4.552998 7.400520 11.912581 19.674562 32.890808 54.832324 94.744865
2026-01-18 4.147189 6.894072 11.350388 19.207966 32.942228 56.369013 100.230563
2026-01-25 3.816439 6.481604 10.903635 18.887004 33.196192 58.246457 106.469736
2026-02-01 3.529318 6.122971 10.523703 18.657926 33.608341 60.471761 113.650084
2026-02-08 3.267010 5.784844 10.149691 18.402522 33.942863 62.578081 120.819043
2026-02-15 3.014471 5.441983 9.736877 18.034314 34.023373 64.201876 127.192445
2026-02-22 2.951376 5.436621 9.928126 18.803087 36.323458 70.236880 142.979614
2026-03-01 2.825898 5.304275 9.873107 19.093074 37.711532 74.614171 155.826617
2026-03-08 2.668904 5.099065 9.663563 19.059900 38.445578 77.741323 166.355789
2026-03-15 2.507972 4.873266 9.396015 18.885488 38.869945 80.262913 175.825888
2026-03-22 2.457418 4.860119 9.541075 19.560573 41.121630 86.805219 194.919355
2026-03-29 2.385920 4.798967 9.584811 20.026586 42.966439 92.643193 213.047156
2026-04-05 2.337699 4.781181 9.713984 20.682777 45.282098 99.723418 234.860216
2026-04-12 2.179703 4.523351 9.328206 20.191130 44.995897 100.947387 242.771014